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2024-12-13 04:35:35

Chinese stocks and ETF US stocks soared at the beginning of the session, with many houses rising by more than 74%, shells rising by more than 13%, and Weilai and Xpeng Motors rising by more than 11%; China ETF rose more than 22%, China overseas Internet ETF rose more than 9%, and China large-cap ETF rose more than 7%.Navigation warning: Military missions will be carried out in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait. According to the website of China Maritime Safety Administration, Dalian Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 7: 00 on December 10 to 22: 00 on November 11, some waters in the northern part of the Yellow Sea in the Bohai Strait will be carried out on military missions, and it is forbidden to enter.The operating rate of Russian refineries increased because the ban was lifted and gasoline exports resumed.


Domestic futures closed at night, with coke up 5.6%, glass up about 5%, coking coal and synthetic rubber up over 4%, rebar up over 3% and iron ore up about 2.7%.The main force of China INE crude oil futures just broke through the 530.0 yuan/barrel mark, and the latest price was 530.1 yuan/barrel, up 1.69% in the day.Ukraine's national natural gas transportation company said that on December 10th, Russia nominated 42.34 million cubic meters of natural gas at Sudan border crossing, compared with 42.31 million cubic meters on December 9th.


Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.The brand-new Lantu Dreamer became the official vehicle of the Arab League representative office in China, and Lantu Automobile officially delivered the brand-new Lantu Dreamer to the Arab League representative office in China for official use. H.E. Ambassador Ahmed Mustafa Fahmi Hafiz, Director of the Representative Office of the League of Arab States in China, and Mr. Qin Jie, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the Labor Union of Lantu Automobile, attended the delivery ceremony. The brand-new Lantu Dreamer will receive the exclusive car as a VIP, serve the Arab League's diplomatic work in China, and entertain distinguished guests from all over the world with excellent quality, thus becoming a beautiful "business card" to show China's independent brand.Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.

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